Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007559 0.008490 0.009507 0.010702 0.012070 0.013592 0.015417
2025-02-02 0.006298 0.007617 0.009183 0.011191 0.013712 0.016796 0.020885
2025-02-09 0.005398 0.006847 0.008664 0.011131 0.014428 0.018732 0.024855
2025-02-16 0.004828 0.006364 0.008376 0.011242 0.015275 0.020837 0.029242
2025-02-23 0.004301 0.005852 0.007959 0.011082 0.015673 0.022311 0.032880
2025-03-02 0.003971 0.005559 0.007792 0.011223 0.016478 0.024417 0.037702
2025-03-09 0.003634 0.005217 0.007506 0.011140 0.016910 0.025981 0.041858
2025-03-16 0.003252 0.004767 0.007014 0.010680 0.016685 0.026453 0.044241
2025-03-23 0.003021 0.004521 0.006802 0.010627 0.017090 0.027977 0.048620
2025-03-30 0.002938 0.004494 0.006921 0.011110 0.018429 0.031227 0.056580
2025-04-06 0.002691 0.004186 0.006564 0.010761 0.018288 0.031843 0.059646
2025-04-13 0.002481 0.003920 0.006252 0.010458 0.018188 0.032507 0.062882
2025-04-20 0.002334 0.003753 0.006104 0.010445 0.018654 0.034361 0.069011
2025-04-27 0.002279 0.003738 0.006212 0.010908 0.020077 0.038284 0.080301
2025-05-04 0.002145 0.003576 0.006050 0.010851 0.020478 0.040197 0.087466
2025-05-11 0.002049 0.003472 0.005980 0.010959 0.021216 0.042905 0.096984
2025-05-18 0.001925 0.003307 0.005785 0.010803 0.021388 0.044403 0.103833
2025-05-25 0.001851 0.003228 0.005741 0.010941 0.022193 0.047419 0.115117
2025-06-01 0.001755 0.003101 0.005598 0.010860 0.022513 0.049359 0.123956
2025-06-08 0.001623 0.002897 0.005291 0.010413 0.021963 0.049163 0.126898
2025-06-15 0.001547 0.002796 0.005176 0.010361 0.022309 0.051196 0.136597
2025-06-22 0.001533 0.002813 0.005298 0.010831 0.023929 0.056655 0.157651
2025-06-29 0.001436 0.002660 0.005064 0.010492 0.023570 0.056952 0.162907